SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
27.52% ( -0.67) | 24.78% ( -0.31) | 47.71% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 54.73% ( 0.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.06% ( 0.93) | 47.94% ( -0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.89% ( 0.85) | 70.11% ( -0.84) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( -0.02) | 31.46% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% ( -0.02) | 67.84% ( 0.03) |
| West Bromwich Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.86% ( 0.81) | 20.14% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.58% ( 1.27) | 52.42% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
| 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.52% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.25)2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.02% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 4.35% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.91% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.01% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.7% |
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