SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Burnley |
50.61% ( -0.01) | 24.39% ( 0.03) | 25% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( -0.15) | 48.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( -0.14) | 70.33% ( 0.14) |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.96% ( -0.06) | 19.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.37% ( -0.1) | 50.64% ( 0.11) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -0.09) | 33.6% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.76% ( -0.11) | 70.25% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.61% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 25% |
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