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Championship | Gameweek 8
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
OU

Luton
2 - 2
Oxford Utd

Clark (10'), Krauss (37')
Doughty (56'), Burke (90+7'), Ruddock (90+6')
Walsh (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goodrham (45'), Rodrigues (54')
Kioso (48'), El Mizouni (68'), Moore (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Oxford United

Both teams have scored in the last six meetings between these two sides, and while neither have been particularly ruthless in attack so far, that is likely to happen again. Oxford's awful away form is a concern, and despite Luton's troubles, they will see themselves as favourites in this one, and could edge a narrow encounter to extend their home unbeaten run to 10 games over the U's. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawOxford United
50.56% (0.103 0.1) 23.83% (-0.035 -0.04) 25.61% (-0.069999999999997 -0.07)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.72% (0.081000000000003 0.08)45.27% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.38% (0.077999999999996 0.08)67.61% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.04% (0.070000000000007 0.07)17.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.2% (0.122 0.12)48.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)31.55% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)67.94% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 50.56%
    Oxford United 25.61%
    Draw 23.83%
Luton TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.37% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 50.56%
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.67% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.83%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 25.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Luton
Friday, September 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-1 Luton
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-2 QPR
Friday, August 30 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-1 Luton (4-1 pen.)
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Preston 1-0 Luton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-0 Burnley
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, September 14 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-1 Preston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Championship


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