Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.46%) and 1-3 (5.07%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.02) 
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