SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.73%) and 1-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Werder Bremen |
53.08% ( 0.41) | 21.22% ( -0.04) | 25.68% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 65.57% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.16) | 32.93% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.36% ( -0.18) | 54.64% ( 0.18) |
| SC Paderborn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.31% ( 0.07) | 12.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.12% ( 0.14) | 38.87% ( -0.14) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.09% ( -0.34) | 24.9% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.47% ( -0.48) | 59.52% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Paderborn | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 53.09% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.23% | 1-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.53% Total : 25.69% |
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