Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Bari had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palermo in this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Bari
41.17% ( 0.05)	28.06% ( -0.02)	30.77% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46.66% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.79% (

0.05)

59.22% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.37% (

0.04)

79.64% (

-0.04)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.72% (

0.06)

28.28% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36% (

0.07)

64% (

-0.06)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.06% (

0.01)

34.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.32% (

71.68%

Score Analysis

Palermo 41.16%

Bari 30.77%

Draw 28.06%

Palermo	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 41.16%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 10.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 30.77%