Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Bari had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palermo in this match.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Bari
35.84% ( 0.28)	29.65% ( -0.04)	34.51% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 43.07% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.01% (

0.13)

63.98% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.82% (

0.09)

83.17% (

-0.09)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08% (

0.25)

33.92% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.41% (

0.27)

70.59% (

-0.28)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.18% (

-0.1)

34.81% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.45% (

-0.1)

71.55% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Palermo 35.83%

Bari 34.5%

Draw 29.64%

Palermo	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.83%	1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.64%	0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 34.5%