Serie B | Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Bari.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Bari had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palermo in this match.
| Result |
| Palermo | Draw | Bari |
35.84% ( 0.28) | 29.65% ( -0.04) | 34.51% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 43.07% ( 0.1) |
| 36.01% ( 0.13) | 63.98% ( -0.13) |
| 16.82% ( 0.09) | 83.17% ( -0.09) |
| 66.08% ( 0.25) | 33.92% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.41% ( 0.27) | 70.59% ( -0.28) |
| 65.18% ( -0.1) | 34.81% ( 0.09) |
