Palmeiras may have failed to win any of their opening three home fixtures this term, but they are on a roll in front of their supporters, notching six consecutive victories and keeping clean sheets in 50% of that run.
That sequence should become seven against one of the division's underwhelming travellers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Palmeiras in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Palmeiras.
0.32) 
-0.09) 
