Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 23.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palmeiras in this match.

Result
Palmeiras	Draw	Cruzeiro
52.02% ( 2.54)	24.72% ( -0.32)	23.26% ( -2.22)

Both teams to score 50.84% (

-1.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

-0.61)

51.11% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

-0.54)

72.96% (

0.54)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37% (

0.8)

19.63% (

-0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.41% (

1.28)

51.58% (

-1.28)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.25% (

-2.29)

36.75% (

2.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.46% (

-2.37)

73.53% (

2.37)

Score Analysis

Palmeiras 52.01%

Cruzeiro 23.26%

Draw 24.72%

Palmeiras	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.68) 3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.49) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.01%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.25) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.38) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.77% Total : 23.26%