SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 3 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Panama | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Martinique | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 55.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Panama would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panama | Draw | Guatemala |
55.49% ( 0.83) | 23.9% ( -0.41) | 20.6% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 49.86% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( 1.15) | 50.67% ( -1.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( 1) | 72.57% ( -1) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.88% ( 0.74) | 18.12% ( -0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.93% ( 1.25) | 49.07% ( -1.25) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.89% ( 0.22) | 39.11% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.17% ( 0.21) | 75.82% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panama | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.35% Total : 55.48% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.33)2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.42% Total : 20.6% |
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