SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Canada | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Cuba | 2 | -4 | 0 |
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Guadeloupe | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Canada | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Cuba | 2 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Guatemala |
38.5% ( -0.43) | 28.14% ( 0.05) | 33.36% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.04% ( -0.14) | 58.96% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.56% ( -0.11) | 79.44% ( 0.11) |
| Guadeloupe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.31% ( -0.32) | 29.69% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.25% ( -0.39) | 65.75% ( 0.39) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( 0.19) | 32.96% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( 0.2) | 69.54% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guadeloupe | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.49% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 33.36% |
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