SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Curacao | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | El Salvador | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Curacao | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 5 | El Salvador | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 6 | Martinique | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panama win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panama win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 1-0 (12.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guatemala | Draw | Panama |
33.93% ( -1.28) | 29.67% ( 0.02) | 36.4% ( 1.26) |
| Both teams to score 42.96% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.9% ( -0.11) | 64.1% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.74% ( -0.08) | 83.26% ( 0.08) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% ( -0.94) | 35.28% ( 0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.96% ( -0.99) | 72.04% ( 0.99) |
| Panama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.39% ( 0.78) | 33.61% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.74% ( 0.84) | 70.26% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guatemala | Draw | Panama |
| 1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.18)2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.66% | 0-1 @ 12.93% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.4% |
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