Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.