Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 29.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Panevezys | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
29.32% ( -0.11) | 27.25% ( -0.06) | 43.42% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.18% ( 0.16) | 56.82% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.25% ( 0.13) | 77.75% ( -0.13) |
Panevezys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.25% ( 0.01) | 34.75% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.52% ( 0.01) | 71.48% ( -0.01) |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.05% ( 0.16) | 25.95% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.04% ( 0.22) | 60.96% ( -0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Panevezys | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.32% | 1-1 @ 12.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.42% |
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