SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Ferencvaros |
42.73% ( -0.73) | 24.34% ( -0.07) | 32.93% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 59.31% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0.6) | 43.31% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.29% ( 0.59) | 65.7% ( -0.59) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( -0.08) | 20.41% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.15% ( -0.12) | 52.85% ( 0.12) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.51% ( 0.78) | 25.48% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.68% ( 1.06) | 60.32% ( -1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 42.73% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.93% |
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