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Greek Superleague | Gameweek 12
Nov 24, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
P
PAOK

Asteras
1 - 2
PAOK

Macheda (50')
Deli (40'), Munoz (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Despodov (68' og.), Rahman (85')
Zivkovic (31')
Coverage of the Greek Superleague clash between Asteras Tripolis and PAOK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AEK Athens 3-0 Asteras
Saturday, November 9 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 2-3 Olympiacos
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 25.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
Asteras TripolisDrawPAOK
25.17% (0.262 0.26) 26.52% (0.256 0.26) 48.31% (-0.515 -0.52)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.491 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.59% (-0.756 -0.76)56.41% (0.757 0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.58% (-0.614 -0.61)77.42% (0.616 0.62)
Asteras Tripolis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (-0.187 -0.19)37.96% (0.188 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.179 -0.18)74.73% (0.181 0.18)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.6% (-0.559 -0.56)23.39% (0.56 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (-0.819 -0.82)57.38% (0.819 0.82)
Score Analysis
    Asteras Tripolis 25.17%
    PAOK 48.3%
    Draw 26.52%
Asteras TripolisDrawPAOK
1-0 @ 8.6% (0.204 0.2)
2-1 @ 6.05% (0.015 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.17% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.35% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 25.17%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.88% (0.255 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 12.89% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 9.37% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.54% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 48.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: AEK Athens 3-0 Asteras
Saturday, November 9 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Asteras 3-0 OFI Crete
Monday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Asteras 1-0 Olympiacos
Sunday, October 27 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Lamia 0-0 Asteras
Saturday, October 19 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Kallithea 1-3 Asteras
Sunday, October 6 at 3pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Asteras 1-1 Levadiakos
Saturday, September 28 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 2-3 Olympiacos
Sunday, November 10 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Man Utd 2-0 PAOK
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lamia 1-2 PAOK
Sunday, November 3 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 1-2 OFI Crete
Sunday, October 27 at 7pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 2-2 Plzen
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 PAOK
Sunday, October 20 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague


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