Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 25.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.37%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 1-0 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
Result | ||
Asteras Tripolis | Draw | PAOK |
25.17% ( 0.26) | 26.52% ( 0.26) | 48.31% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.59% ( -0.76) | 56.41% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.58% ( -0.61) | 77.42% ( 0.62) |
Asteras Tripolis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.04% ( -0.19) | 37.96% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.27% ( -0.18) | 74.73% ( 0.18) |
PAOK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( -0.56) | 23.39% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.62% ( -0.82) | 57.38% ( 0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Asteras Tripolis | Draw | PAOK |
1-0 @ 8.6% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.62% Total : 25.17% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.66% Total : 48.3% |
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