SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Troyes win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pau | Draw | Troyes |
45.3% ( 3.26) | 25.75% ( -0.09) | 28.95% ( -3.17) |
| Both teams to score 52.64% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.86% ( -0.93) | 51.14% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.01% ( -0.82) | 72.99% ( 0.83) |
| Pau Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( 1.16) | 22.53% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.89% ( 1.7) | 56.11% ( -1.7) |
| Troyes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.95% ( -2.69) | 32.05% ( 2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.48% ( -3.18) | 68.52% ( 3.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pau | Draw | Troyes |
| 1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.75) 2-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 8.02% ( 0.81)3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.52)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 45.3% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.56)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.55)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.43)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.36)Other @ 2.71% Total : 28.95% |
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