Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Pau had a probability of 14.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
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