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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 57.42%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 21.67% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PEC Zwolle in this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
57.42% ( -0.78) | 20.91% ( 0.36) | 21.67% ( 0.43) |
| Both teams to score 61.51% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.99% ( -1.16) | 36.01% ( 1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.89% ( -1.29) | 58.1% ( 1.29) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% ( -0.59) | 12.44% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.63% ( -1.24) | 38.37% ( 1.25) |
| SBV Excelsior Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% ( -0.29) | 29.75% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% ( -0.35) | 65.81% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.07)Other @ 4.2% Total : 57.42% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.02% Total : 21.67% |
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