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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 51.88%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
27.29% ( 0.41) | 20.83% ( 0.09) | 51.88% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 68.74% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.53% ( -0.11) | 29.47% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.45% ( -0.13) | 50.55% ( 0.14) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( 0.19) | 22.01% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( 0.29) | 55.33% ( -0.29) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.14% ( -0.18) | 11.86% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.86% ( -0.38) | 37.14% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.29% | 1-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.05)0-1 @ 5.57% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.83% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.22% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.4% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 51.88% |
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