SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 30.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
43.99% ( -0.25) | 25.75% ( 0.08) | 30.26% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( -0.25) | 50.51% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( -0.22) | 72.44% ( 0.23) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.22) | 22.88% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( -0.33) | 56.63% ( 0.34) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.22% ( -0) | 30.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.95% ( -0.01) | 67.05% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 1-0 @ 10.38% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.98% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.27% |
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