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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.34%) and 2-0 (5.4%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
40.89% ( -1.1) | 23.03% ( -0.25) | 36.08% ( 1.35) |
| Both teams to score 65.05% ( 1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.85% ( 1.54) | 36.15% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.74% ( 1.67) | 58.26% ( -1.67) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( 0.17) | 18.23% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.74% ( 0.3) | 49.26% ( -0.29) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( 1.39) | 20.44% ( -1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.11% ( 2.16) | 52.89% ( -2.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.19) 1-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.46)2-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.79% Total : 40.89% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.16)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.14)0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.08% |
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