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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
44.99% ( 0.27) | 23.44% ( -0.07) | 31.57% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 61.97% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.44% ( 0.25) | 39.56% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.09% ( 0.27) | 61.91% ( -0.27) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.07% ( 0.21) | 17.93% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.26% ( 0.36) | 48.74% ( -0.36) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( 0) | 24.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.05% ( 0) | 58.94% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Western United | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.79% Total : 44.99% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.57% |
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