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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.4%) and 2-3 (4.97%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
35.49% ( 1.66) | 20.91% ( 0.4) | 43.59% ( -2.06) |
| Both teams to score 73.31% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.56% ( -1.5) | 25.44% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.51% ( -1.97) | 45.49% ( 1.97) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.15% ( -0) | 15.85% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.96% ( -0) | 45.04% ( 0) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.12% ( -1.22) | 12.88% ( 1.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.73% ( -2.56) | 39.27% ( 2.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.22)1-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.36)2-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.33)3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.2)4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.1)4-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 3.78% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.13)0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.26)2-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.24)3-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.14)1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.17)2-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.38% Total : 43.59% |
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