SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Peru had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Canada in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peru | Draw | Canada |
31.2% ( 0.29) | 26.89% ( -0.03) | 41.91% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.24% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( 0.23) | 54.76% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( 0.19) | 76.07% ( -0.19) |
| Peru Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.7% ( 0.32) | 32.3% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.2% ( 0.36) | 68.8% ( -0.36) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.21% ( -0.03) | 25.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( -0.04) | 60.75% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peru | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.2% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 11.28% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 41.91% |
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