SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartans would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Spartans |
33.47% ( 0.19) | 24.66% ( -0.04) | 41.86% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.36% ( 0.22) | 44.63% ( -0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33% ( 0.21) | 67% ( -0.21) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( 0.21) | 25.79% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.25% ( 0.29) | 60.74% ( -0.29) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.63% ( 0.02) | 21.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.65% ( 0.04) | 54.34% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Spartans |
| 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.47% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.86% |
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