SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 23.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
53.47% ( -0.02) | 22.63% ( -0.02) | 23.9% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.4% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.55% ( 0.12) | 41.45% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.15% ( 0.12) | 63.85% ( -0.12) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.49% ( 0.03) | 15.51% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.59% ( 0.06) | 44.41% ( -0.06) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.12% ( 0.1) | 30.88% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.83% ( 0.12) | 67.16% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.32% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 53.47% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.85% Total : 23.9% |
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