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PU
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2024 at 6pm UK
Subaru Park
MU

Philadelphia
2 - 0
Minnesota Utd

Gazdag (16'), Carranza (84')
Andres Martinez (64'), Harriel (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Dotson (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-1 Minnesota United

Both teams have had little problem finding the back of the net of late, so we expect an open and exciting contest here. We can also see the sides cancelling each other out to settle for a point apiece in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
54.94% (-1.191 -1.19) 22.19% (0.504 0.5) 22.88% (0.695 0.7)
Both teams to score 58.64% (-0.809 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.45% (-1.499 -1.5)40.56% (1.508 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.07% (-1.557 -1.56)62.94% (1.565 1.57)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (-0.884 -0.88)14.71% (0.892 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.1% (-1.727 -1.73)42.9% (1.735 1.74)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)31.26% (0.236 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.4% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)67.6% (0.276 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 54.94%
    Minnesota United 22.88%
    Draw 22.18%
Philadelphia UnionDrawMinnesota United
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.328 0.33)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.208 -0.21)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-2 @ 3.65% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-2 @ 1.75% (-0.129 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-0 @ 0.99% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 54.94%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.31 0.31)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.6% (0.311 0.31)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.18%
1-2 @ 5.96% (0.147 0.15)
0-1 @ 5.35% (0.329 0.33)
0-2 @ 3.11% (0.173 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.21% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 22.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Portland 1-3 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 24 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Pachuca 6-0 Philadelphia
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Philadelphia 0-0 Pachuca
Wednesday, March 6 at 12am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Kansas 1-1 Philadelphia
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-3 Deportivo Saprissa
Wednesday, February 28 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, March 17 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 2-3 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, March 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Columbus Crew
Saturday, March 2 at 7pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 3-1 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, October 22 at 2am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Minnesota Utd 5-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, October 8 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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