SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 15.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | St Louis City |
64.7% ( 0.12) | 19.64% ( -0.05) | 15.66% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.96% ( 0.12) | 40.04% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( 0.12) | 62.4% ( -0.12) |
| Real Salt Lake Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.34% ( 0.07) | 11.66% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.28% ( 0.15) | 36.71% ( -0.15) |
| St Louis City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.49% ( -0.01) | 38.51% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.74% ( -0.01) | 75.25% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Salt Lake | Draw | St Louis City |
| 2-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.92% Total : 64.69% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.64% | 1-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.66% |
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