Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 49.08%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Pisa	Draw	SPAL
49.08% ( 1.92)	25.39% ( -0.05)	25.53% ( -1.87)

Both teams to score 51.14% (

-1.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.15% (

-1.06)

51.85% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.39% (

-0.92)

73.6% (

0.92)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.85% (

0.4)

21.14% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46% (

0.62)

53.99% (

-0.62)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.86% (

-2.08)

35.14% (

2.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.1% (

-2.25)

71.89% (

2.25)

Score Analysis

Pisa 49.08%

SPAL 25.53%

Draw 25.39%

Pisa	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 49.08%	1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.05% Total : 25.53%