Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Pisa
37.28% ( -1.42)	27.37% ( 0.26)	35.35% ( 1.16)

Both teams to score 49.71% (

-0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.13% (

-0.91)

55.87% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.02% (

-0.75)

76.99% (

0.75)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

-1.27)

28.9% (

1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

-1.6)

64.78% (

1.61)

Pisa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

0.29)

30.09% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78% (

0.34)

66.22% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

SPAL 37.28%

Pisa 35.35%

Draw 27.37%

SPAL	Draw	Pisa
1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.28%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 35.35%