SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Birmingham City |
49.2% ( -0.19) | 22.47% ( 0.04) | 28.33% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 63.4% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.2% ( -0.07) | 36.79% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.03% ( -0.08) | 58.96% ( 0.07) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.7% ( -0.09) | 15.3% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.98% ( -0.17) | 44.02% ( 0.17) |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.85% ( 0.06) | 25.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.14% ( 0.09) | 59.85% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Birmingham City |
| 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 49.2% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.86% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.47% | 1-2 @ 6.88% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 28.33% |
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