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Championship | Gameweek 17
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
SW

Birmingham
2 - 1
Sheff Weds

Bacuna (45+3'), James (81')
Dembele (15')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Byers (45')
Windass (32'), Wilks (37'), Bannan (39'), Musaba (61'), Gassama (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Birmingham City 1-1 Sheffield Wednesday

The international break came at the right time for each of these two clubs and there could be more quality on show than there was before it. Nevertheless, it is difficult to see either of these teams prevailing, leading us to predict a competitive draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
39.91% (0.041000000000004 0.04) 26.92% (-0.012 -0.01) 33.16% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.76% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (0.049999999999997 0.05)54.38% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (0.041999999999998 0.04)75.75% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)26.69% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (0.061999999999998 0.06)61.94% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)30.75% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.02% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 39.91%
    Sheffield Wednesday 33.16%
    Draw 26.92%
Birmingham CityDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 10.84%
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.16% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 39.91%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 9.68% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 5.71% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 33.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, November 11 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 3-1 Birmingham
Saturday, October 28 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 0-2 Hull City
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 3-1 West Brom
Friday, October 6 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-4 Millwall
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-0 Rotherham
Sunday, October 29 at 1pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 3-0 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 1-0 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in Championship


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