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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Home Park
LL

Plymouth
1 - 0
Leicester

Bundu (21')
Miller (30'), Forshaw (41'), Hardie (49'), Whittaker (50'), Waine (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ndidi (45+4'), Vestergaard (69')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 QPR
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Leicester City

Given the manner in which Plymouth have improved of late, we would not be surprised to see the Pilgrims earn a share of the spoils here. However, the Foxes' superior quality in the final third may lead to them edging a late win at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
25.33% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 21.77% (0.012 0.01) 52.9% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.11% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.03% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)35.97% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.93% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)58.07% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.2% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)26.8% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.91% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)62.09% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)13.78% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (-0.055 -0.05)41.1% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 25.33%
    Leicester City 52.9%
    Draw 21.77%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 6.35%
1-0 @ 4.86% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 25.33%
1-1 @ 9.64% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.77%
1-2 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 6.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 2.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 52.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 QPR
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-1 Plymouth
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Bristol City
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-1 Plymouth
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Plymouth 0-1 Preston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leicester
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Leicester
Friday, March 29 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 4-2 Leicester
Sunday, March 17 at 12.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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