Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-2 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
45.19% ( 0.13) | 23.28% ( 0.04) | 31.52% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 62.51% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.15% ( -0.26) | 38.84% ( 0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.84% ( -0.27) | 61.16% ( 0.27) |
Pogon Szczecin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.43% ( -0.05) | 17.56% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.89% ( -0.09) | 48.11% ( 0.08) |
Rakow Czestochowa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.82% ( -0.23) | 24.17% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.5% ( -0.33) | 58.49% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Rakow Czestochowa |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.72% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.95% Total : 45.19% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 31.52% |
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