SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Pohang Steelers had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Pohang Steelers win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pohang Steelers | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
35.5% ( 0.12) | 25.17% ( -0.03) | 39.33% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.03% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.46% ( 0.17) | 46.54% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.19% ( 0.16) | 68.81% ( -0.16) |
| Pohang Steelers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( 0.15) | 25.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.64% ( 0.2) | 60.35% ( -0.21) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% ( 0.03) | 23.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.56% ( 0.04) | 57.44% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pohang Steelers | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.5% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.16% 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.33% |
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