SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 67.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.81%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wuhan Three Towns in this match.
| Result | ||
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
67.27% ( -0.11) | 18.75% ( 0.05) | 13.98% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 53.11% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.5% ( -0.12) | 39.5% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.15% ( -0.13) | 61.85% ( 0.13) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.17% ( -0.06) | 10.83% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.11% ( -0.14) | 34.89% ( 0.14) |
| Cangzhou Mighty Lions Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.56% ( 0) | 40.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.95% ( 0) | 77.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Wuhan Three Towns | Draw | Cangzhou Mighty Lions |
| 2-0 @ 10.81% 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.27% Total : 67.26% | 1-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.75% | 1-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 13.98% |
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