SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Qianbao win with a probability of 38.62%. A win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Qianbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
38.62% ( 0.81) | 25.99% ( -0.13) | 35.38% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( 0.49) | 50.19% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( 0.43) | 72.15% ( -0.44) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( 0.67) | 25.46% ( -0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.71% ( 0.91) | 60.29% ( -0.92) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( -0.18) | 27.3% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( -0.23) | 62.75% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 1-0 @ 9.51% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.5% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.62% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 35.38% |
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