SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 17.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.76%).
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
62.15% ( 0.16) | 20.58% ( -0.01) | 17.26% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( -0.21) | 41.32% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( -0.22) | 63.72% ( 0.22) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.24% ( -0.02) | 12.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.98% ( -0.04) | 39.02% ( 0.04) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.67% ( -0.3) | 37.33% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.89% ( -0.3) | 74.11% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Port Vale | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 62.15% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.58% | 1-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 17.26% |
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