SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 51.35%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 27.94% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
27.94% ( -0.47) | 20.7% ( -0.06) | 51.35% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 69.82% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.68% ( -0.04) | 28.31% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.87% ( -0.05) | 49.13% ( 0.05) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.99% ( -0.29) | 21.01% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.21% ( -0.46) | 53.79% ( 0.46) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.39% ( 0.14) | 11.61% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.39% ( 0.29) | 36.6% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle United Under-21s | Draw | Manchester City Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.94% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.7% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 4.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.09% Total : 51.35% |
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