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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.64%) and 3-1 (5.53%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
45.06% ( 0.38) | 21.97% ( -0) | 32.97% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 68.18% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.3% ( -0.13) | 31.7% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.79% ( -0.15) | 53.21% ( 0.15) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( 0.08) | 14.83% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.87% ( 0.16) | 43.13% ( -0.17) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( -0.26) | 19.94% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.9% ( -0.41) | 52.1% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.39% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.97% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.97% |
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