SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
62.57% ( -0.17) | 20.58% ( 0.07) | 16.85% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.91% ( -0.12) | 42.09% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.51% ( -0.12) | 64.49% ( 0.12) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.13% ( -0.09) | 12.87% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.74% ( -0.18) | 39.26% ( 0.18) |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( 0.05) | 38.29% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.96% ( 0.05) | 75.04% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 62.56% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.58% | 0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.85% |
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