SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
47.17% ( 0.17) | 23.06% ( 0.01) | 29.76% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 62.3% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.31% ( -0.15) | 38.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.01% ( -0.16) | 60.98% ( 0.16) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% ( 0) | 16.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.34% ( 0.01) | 46.65% ( -0.01) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( -0.19) | 25.17% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% ( -0.26) | 59.89% ( 0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.3% Total : 47.17% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.76% |
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