Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.