No matter how suspect Lyon are on the defensive front, Bosz's side always carry a threat going forwards, and another slow start for PSG could see them pay the price as it did against Maccabi Haifa. However, Les Gones' leaky defence is there to be penetrated by PSG's star-studded trio, and we can only picture the Parisiens juggernaut rolling on before the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 56.5%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.22%) and 1-3 (6.81%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
22.93% ( 0.09)	20.56% ( 0.03)	56.5% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 64.67% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.32% (

-0.02)

32.68% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.64% (

-0.02)

54.36% (

0.02)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

0.06)

26.81% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

0.08)

62.1% (

-0.08)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.37% (

-0.04)

11.63% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.35% (

-0.08)

36.65% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Lyon 22.93%

Paris Saint-Germain 56.5%

Draw 20.56%

Lyon	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 22.93%	1-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.39% Total : 20.56%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.18% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.49% 1-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.06% 2-5 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.5%