Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 15.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.29%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Puebla win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Cruz Azul
15.88% ( 0.22)	21.02% ( 0.12)	63.1% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 50.19% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

-0.1)

45.77% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

-0.09)

68.09% (

0.09)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.27% (

0.22)

41.73% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.8% (

0.2)

78.2% (

-0.19)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.13% (

-0.13)

13.87% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.73% (

-0.26)

41.27% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Puebla 15.88%

Cruz Azul 63.1%

Draw 21.02%

Puebla	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 15.88%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.02%	0-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 11.29% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.44% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 6.5% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.21% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.73% Total : 63.1%