Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 22.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
