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Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Feb 18, 2023 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Cuauhtémoc

Puebla
1 - 3
Cruz Azul

Maia (77')
Aguilar (33'), Baltazar (90+4'), Mancuello (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Rodriguez (45+1'), Dominguez (59'), Carneiro (63' pen.)
Rivero (78'), Dominguez (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Club Leon 2-0 Puebla
Wednesday, February 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 12 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
PueblaDrawCruz Azul
40.14% (0.296 0.3) 26.91% (0.0019999999999989 0) 32.95% (-0.29 -0.29)
Both teams to score 50.74% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.62% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)54.39% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)75.76% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Puebla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.43% (0.139 0.14)26.57% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.22% (0.182 0.18)61.79% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.1% (-0.215 -0.22)30.9% (0.222 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.81% (-0.256 -0.26)67.19% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Puebla 40.14%
    Cruz Azul 32.95%
    Draw 26.91%
PueblaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.88% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.21% (0.07 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.027 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 40.14%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.64% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.66% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Club Leon 2-0 Puebla
Wednesday, February 15 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 3-1 Mazatlan
Saturday, February 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 2-0 Puebla
Friday, February 3 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 1-2 Monterrey
Saturday, January 28 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-2 Puebla
Sunday, January 22 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Puebla 2-0 Queretaro
Saturday, January 14 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, February 12 at 6pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-1 Tigres
Sunday, February 5 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, January 22 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 2-3 Monterrey
Saturday, January 14 at 11pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Cruz Azul
Monday, January 9 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Cruz Azul
Sunday, October 16 at 12.06am in Liga MX


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