Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puebla win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Puebla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Cruz Azul
40.14% ( 0.3)	26.91% ( 0)	32.95% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 50.74% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.62% (

-0.05)

54.39% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.24% (

-0.04)

75.76% (

0.05)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

0.14)

26.57% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.22% (

0.18)

61.79% (

-0.17)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.1% (

-0.22)

30.9% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.81% (

-0.26)

67.19% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Puebla 40.14%

Cruz Azul 32.95%

Draw 26.91%

Puebla	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.14%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.91%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.95%