In what should certainly be a hard-fought encounter as both sides bid to make a winning start to the season, we see Pumas having slightly more quality throughout their squad than Club Leon, even with several absentees, and back them to come out on top with home advantage on Monday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Pumas would win this match.
0.62) 
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