Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 59.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Pumas win it was 0-1 (5.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
0.18) 
-0.2) 
